Development situation of mechanical transmission parts market in China

China's mechanical transmission parts production started late, before the 1980s, there is no professional production of mechanical transmission parts manufacturers, mainly by the main engine factory production supporting.

In the late 1970s, in view of the high production cost, some European dealers came to China's Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces for investigation, believing that the local labor cost is not only low, but also high manual skills and sufficient raw materials, so they began to purchase mechanical transmission parts from China.

In the early 1980s, a number of factories producing mechanical transmission parts appeared in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, and later expanded to the northern region.

In the late 20th century, the production of mechanical transmission parts in China was gradually marketed.

Since the reform and opening up, after more than 30 years of development and the joint efforts of the whole industry, China's mechanical transmission parts manufacturing industry has experienced several stages of development, such as the introduction and digestion, independent development and product upgrading, and the technical level of the industry has been qualitatively improved.

Product status from soft tooth surface to hard tooth surface, manufacturers development to the current hundreds, industry production scale from billions of yuan to the current one hundred billion yuan, product series also from the beginning of a dozen to today's thousands of 3, the overall level of most products has reached the advanced level of similar products, many of the past gradually ended the import history, and by the domestic supporting.

At the same time, with many complete sets and single equipment gradually out, China's many mechanical transmission parts products also with the main engine supporting or separate export to the world, which marks China's mechanical transmission parts industry has entered the international market a competitive strength.

In recent years, with the rapid development of China's economy and the continuous expansion of foreign trade, China's output of China's mechanical transmission parts increased from 1,905,10,000 tons in 2011 to 34.62 million tons in 2016, a cumulative increase of 81.73% and an annual compound growth of 16.35%.

The market size of China's mechanical transmission parts industry has increased from 314.4 billion yuan in 2011 to 605.9 billion yuan in 2016, with a cumulative growth of 92.72%, and an average annual compound growth of 18.54%.

3, mechanical transmission parts market demand analysis (1) Overseas market demand analysis Because Europe, the Middle East, Australia and other countries and regions basically do not produce or only produce a small amount of mechanical transmission parts, and China as the world's major mechanical transmission parts producer, overseas market demand for Chinese mechanical transmission parts products has strong rigidity and stickiness.

Before 2015, the overseas market demand for Chinese mechanical transmission parts products has maintained a continuous growth trend.

From 2015 to 2016, due to the continuous slowdown of global economic growth and global trade growth, the overseas market demand for Chinese machinery transmission parts products fluctuated to a certain extent.

Looking around the world, after the international financial crisis in 2008, overseas major manufacturing countries to find a new way to promote economic growth, began to start to manufacturing, have introduced manufacturing upgrade plan, such as the advanced manufacturing national strategic plan, the German industry 4.0 strategy, the British industry 2050 strategy, etc.

One of the most common features of these strategies / plans is that the manufacturing industry of various countries is gradually developing to the direction of intelligence and automation, and the more automated the product production line, the higher the use probability of mechanical transmission parts products will be, and the design and use demand of transmission products will continue to grow.

As investment, manufacturing and trade continue to recover, developing countries exporting commodities benefit from the recovery in commodity prices. The global economy grew by 3.0% in 2017, significantly better than expected, and is expected to accelerate slightly to 3.1% in 2018.

The global economy is expected to grow by 3.0% and 2.9% respectively in 2019-2020.

2012-2020, global economic growth and forecast In addition, as the major overseas developed countries represented by the United States and Germany pay more attention to the development of their own equipment manufacturing industry, the equipment manufacturing industry has become the main battlefield of global manufacturing value reconstruction, competition pattern change and innovation-driven, and will become the main driving force of economic development in the next 10 years 4.

The development of equipment manufacturing industry in major overseas developed countries will effectively promote the quantity and quality demand of main engine accessories (such as mechanical transmission parts).

Emerging developing countries, represented by China, are in a period of accelerated industrialization, marketization and urbanization, as well as expanding consumption and structural upgrading.

In the future for a period of time, the equipment manufacturing industry will usher in a rare opportunity for development, but also to provide a huge market space for the development of the mechanical transmission parts industry.

It can be seen that in the next few years, the global mechanical transmission parts market prospect is more optimistic.

(2) Domestic market demand analysis The production of mechanical transmission parts products is obviously driven by the terminal demand.

In recent years, with the development of China's economy, oil, ships, automobile, air conditioning and other industries have shown rapid development, which has effectively promoted the growth of China's mechanical transmission parts products market demand.

For example, in the field of construction machinery, as one of the important core components, with the rapid upgrading of China's construction machinery, the demand for transmission parts is broad.

At the same time, China's loaders, forklifts, bulldozers, grader, rollers and other construction machinery products exports are growing rapidly, which will effectively drive the development of the transmission parts industry supporting the main engine.

Therefore, in the next few years, with the rapid and stable development of China's economy and the sustainable development of the downstream application industry, the demand for mechanical transmission parts in the domestic market is increasing, and the market size of the mechanical transmission parts industry will maintain a steady growth, thus driving the growth of the supply of mechanical transmission parts in China.

It is expected that by 2022, China's mechanical transmission parts production will reach 59.29 million tons.

Forecast trend of China mechanical transmission parts production in 2017-2022 (10,000 tons) In 2017, the market size of China's mechanical transmission parts industry will reach 662.5 billion yuan; by 2022, the market size of China's mechanical transmission parts industry is expected to exceed 1.000 billion yuan.

Forecast trend of market size of China machinery transmission parts industry in 2017-2022 (100 million yuan)

4. Main development trends of the industry 1. The application field continues to expand, and the market continues to expand The increasing demand for mechanical transmission components in developing countries is similar to the situation in developed countries in the past, and the demand for mechanical transmission components has increased.

Accordingly, the mechanical transmission parts manufacturing center is moving to developing countries to use lower costs to meet the market demand.

Many mechanical transmission parts manufacturers are constantly entering these fast-growing countries.

The market in developing countries will provide high growth opportunities for the mechanical transmission components industry.

In the future, with the application of mechanical transmission parts products in more and more fields, the domestic mechanical transmission parts market will continue to expand. At the same time, with the globalization of automobile, construction machinery and home appliances industry, many countries and regions will continue to get capital injection.

In many ways, the growth of the Asian manufacturing industry has contributed to the growth of the mechanical transmission parts market.

2. The added value of the products is gradually increased With the continuous progress of science and technology, the increasing consumer demand, and the growing market competition, the development of mechanical transmission parts industry gradually presents two major characteristics: one is the electronic technology, material technology with the combination of mechanical transmission parts products, give mechanical transmission parts products computerized, programming and other new functions.

The second is the combination of plastic products, aluminum products and stainless steel products and other industry products with transmission parts products, so that transmission parts products become a broader function, the application of the composite.

The formation of the above two characteristics basically represents the development trend of modern mechanical transmission parts industry, the mechanical transmission parts products with high technical content, high quality grade, high added value, wide application field of new characteristics, gives the mechanical transmission parts products greater living space and more powerful competition ability, marked the development of mechanical transmission parts industry has entered a new stage.

3. Intelligent manufacturing is continuously promoted in the industry "Much starker choices-and graver consequences-in" economic pattern will enter the depth adjustment, the international industry division of labor pattern is reshaping, our country faces developed countries "return" and developing countries "shunt" double squeeze, countries deepening transformation and upgrading of equipment manufacturing industry, vigorously develop represented by industrial robots and intelligent manufacturing equipment manufacturing industry.

With the country's attention to the equipment manufacturing industry and the acceleration of the localization process of major equipment, the mechanical transmission parts industry will also usher in new challenges and opportunities.

Mechanical transmission parts industry to improve the independent innovation ability and technical level, as soon as possible to intelligent manufacturing, will have a very urgent significance.

5. Favorable and unfavorable factors affecting the development of the industry

1. Favorable factors affecting the development of the industry (1) The rapid development of the host industry provides a large market space for the mechanical transmission parts industry The machinery industry has maintained rapid growth, especially the development of oil, automobile, home appliances and construction machinery and other host industries with a large demand for machinery transmission parts, which has provided a large market space for the machinery transmission parts industry.

At the same time, due to the continuous improvement and improvement of the performance and life of the main engine, the accuracy, performance and service life of the mechanical transmission parts products have been put forward higher requirements, which will also promote the technological progress of the mechanical transmission parts industry.

(2) National policies support to promote the sustainable and stable development of the mechanical transmission parts industry The development of the mechanical transmission parts industry has been benefited from the national policy's attention and support to the main engine industry and its own industry.

The relevant national industrial policies will promote the sustainable and stable development of the mechanical transmission parts industry.

The Several Opinions on Accelerating the Revitalization of China's Equipment Manufacturing Industry promulgated by The State Council clearly states that by 2020, China's equipment manufacturing industry will enter the top three economies and become an important equipment manufacturing base in the world.

And pointed out that to develop a number of large equipment manufacturing enterprise groups with strong competitiveness, forming a number of internationally well-known, distinctive equipment manufacturing concentration and other goals.

The rapid development of the equipment manufacturing industry will certainly drive the demand of the mechanical transmission parts products as supporting components, and promote the synchronous and rapid development of the mechanical transmission parts industry.

Industrial policies such as the "Implementation Plan of the Revitalization of Mechanical Basic Parts" and "Mechanical Basic Parts, Basic Manufacturing Process and Basic Materials Industry" Development Plan Release " also pointed out the industrial development direction for the development of the mechanical transmission parts industry.

《 The thirteenth five-year plan for national economic and social development outline 5 chapter 22 clearly put forward, in-depth implementation of the "made in China 2025", in order to improve the manufacturing innovation ability and basic ability, promote the information technology and manufacturing technology depth fusion, promote the direction of intelligent, green, service, cultivating new manufacturing competitive advantage.

2. Adverse factors affecting the development of the industry (1) The production scale of enterprises is small, and the development capacity is weak China's mechanical transmission parts industry is characterized by many small and medium-sized enterprises, the production scale is generally small.

And foreign similar enterprises are relatively large in scale, marketing network throughout the world.

Correspondingly, the investment of foreign mechanical transmission parts giants in research and development is far from that of domestic enterprises.

Most domestic enterprises have low technology development ability and lack of products with independent intellectual property rights, which affects the market competitiveness of products and the further development of enterprises.

(2) Product quality is uneven, and the industrial ecological environment needs to be improved Due to the large differences in the technical level, equipment conditions and management level of enterprises in the mechanical transmission parts industry, the product quality of the industry is uneven. The phenomenon that some manufacturers affect the overall reliability of transmission parts products to a certain extent limits the expansion and promotion of products in the domestic and foreign markets.

At the same time, there are still many problems in the industry, such as low-end products, few high-tech products, and insufficient connection between production and demand of the industry. The overall ecological environment of the industry needs to be continuously improved.

6. The correlation with the upstream and downstream industries and the impact of the development of the upstream and downstream industries on the development of the industry